Arthur Fery: 70.0% form line in 2026 (20 matches)
Arthur Fery ranks 37 in the ATP (August 2026 snapshot) and has played 26 ATP main-draw matches in our database from 2022–2026. The headline number — 57.7% overall win rate — frames a clear mid-tier profile, but the 70.0% mark in 2026 (20 matches) shows a live uptick. The paradox worth betting on: 70.0% form line in 2026 (20 matches). The sample is still thin but publishable (26 matches) — treat deep splits cautiously.
Key metrics at a glance
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Overall win rate | 57.7% |
| ATP rank (snapshot) | 37 |
| Matches analysed | 26 (2022–2026) |
| Best surface | Hard — 66.7% |
| Weakest surface | Unknown — 0.0% |
| Grand Slam win rate | 58.3% (7–5) |
| As favourite | 75.0% (n=4) |
| As underdog | 53.8% (n=13) |
Fery's year-by-year record
| Year | Matches | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| 2026 | 20 | 14 | 70.0% |
Win rate by season, Arthur Fery, 2022–2026. Source: ATP match data via tennispredictor.net
Year-to-year movement shows where the market should update fastest. The 2026 form at 70.0% and the year table are the primary form anchors for live pricing — not a single career average.
Surface breakdown: where the edge lives
| Surface | Matches | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 15 | 60.0% |
| Hard | 9 | 66.7% |
| Unknown | 1 | 0.0% |
| Indoors | 1 | 0.0% |
Win rate by surface, Arthur Fery, 2022–2026. Source: ATP match data via tennispredictor.net
Surface is the first filter before round or opponent quality. Compare clay baselines in the clay-court betting guide and grass patterns in the grass-court specificity guide when translating these rates into match previews.
Tournament tier: reliability by event level
| Tournament level | Matches | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 6 | 66.7% |
| ATP 500 | 5 | 60.0% |
| Grand Slam | 12 | 58.3% |
| Masters 1000 | 3 | 33.3% |
Win rate by tournament tier, Arthur Fery, 2022–2026. Source: ATP match data via tennispredictor.net
Grand Slam and Masters samples matter most for pricing; ATP 250/500 volume often inflates or deflates the headline win rate. Cross-check against Arthur Fils or Cameron Norrie for other ranks-21–50 archetypes.
Round-by-round: early rounds vs deep runs
| Round | Matches | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 10 | 50.0% |
| R2 | 5 | 60.0% |
| R3 | 2 | 50.0% |
| R16 | 4 | 75.0% |
| QF | 3 | 66.7% |
| SF | 2 | 50.0% |
Win rate by round, Arthur Fery, 2022–2026. Source: ATP match data via tennispredictor.net
Round curves separate true closers from early-round specialists. Use the drop from early rounds into deeper stages as a fade signal even when the overall win rate looks acceptable — the same structural idea as Rublev's late-round ceiling.
H2H against elite rivals
| Rival | W–L | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Sonego | 0–2 | 0.0% |
| Cobolli | 2–0 | 100.0% |
| Duckworth | 2–0 | 100.0% |
| Cerundolo | 0–2 | 0.0% |
Elite H2H is sparse for many mid-ranked players; only rows with multiple meetings are shown. Use these as matchup modifiers, not as a substitute for surface form.
Favourite vs underdog split
| Role | Matches | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Favourite | 4 | 75.0% |
| Underdog | 13 | 53.8% |
Favourite vs underdog win rate, Arthur Fery, 2022–2026. Source: ATP match odds via tennispredictor.net
What the betting market misses about Arthur Fery
Back Arthur Fery when:
- on hard (66.7% over 9 matches)
- in first-round spots (50.0% over 10 matches)
- during strong 2026 form (70.0% over 20 matches)
Fade Arthur Fery when:
- on unknown (0.0%)
For live slate context, open the predictions dashboard rather than relying on a static profile alone.
How our model treats Arthur Fery
The ensemble weights surface win-rate history, recent form (last 5 / last 10), and tournament-tier context most heavily for a rank-21–50 profile like this. Favourite/underdog conversion is a secondary prior when odds history is dense enough (here: 17 matches with usable prices). Uncertainty rises when the next match is on unknown or in a deep-draw round where Fery's historical conversion collapses.
Frequently asked questions
What is Arthur Fery's overall win rate in this study?
57.7% across 26 ATP main-draw matches from 2022–2026.
Which surface shows the highest win rate?
Hard at 66.7% (9 matches).
How often does Arthur Fery win when installed as favourite?
75.0% over 4 favourite-priced matches in the cache (usable odds only).
How does Arthur Fery perform at Grand Slams vs regular events?
Grand Slam win rate is 58.3% (7–5), versus 57.7% overall.
Who is Arthur Fery's toughest matchup in the data?
Among repeated elite meetings: Sonego (0–2).
When is Arthur Fery worth backing or fading based on this data?
Back when on hard (66.7% over 9 matches) / in first-round spots (50.0% over 10 matches) / during strong 2026 form (70.0% over 20 matches). Fade when on unknown (0.0%).
How reliable are these statistics given the sample size?
26 matches is a thin profile sample; surface and favourite splits with n≥15 are the most trustworthy rows.
How does your model handle Arthur Fery's surface and form swings?
It re-weights recent surface form and does not treat the career overall win rate as a constant prior when the year-by-year table shows large swings (notably the 2026 line at 70.0%).
Conclusion
Arthur Fery at ATP #37 is a ranks-21–50 profile defined by 57.7% overall and 70.0% form line in 2026 (20 matches). The actionable reads are the surface table, the favourite conversion, the 2026 form line, and the round curve — not the ranking alone.
Watch the North American hard-court swing and any surface-specific weeks to confirm whether current form holds. For related mid-tier profiles, see Alexander Blockx and Terence Atmane.
See today's match predictions with confidence scores and value signals.
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