Davidovich Fokina ATP Analysis: 2025 Surge Masks a Final Jinx
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ranks #20 in the live ATP standings and has 214 matches in our raw tournament cache from 2022–2026 at a 53.3% overall win rate. The data paints a clear picture: volatile profile with a sharp 2025 rebound. 62.9% in 2025 after 40.6% in 2024 — yet 0% in five finals.
Key metrics at a glance
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Overall win rate (OWR) | 53.3% |
| Matches in dataset | 214 (2022–2026) |
| Best surface | Hard — 54.6% |
| Worst surface | Indoors — 46.7% |
| As favourite | 85 matches — 64.7% |
| As underdog | 129 matches — 45.7% |
| Current ATP ranking | #20 (July 2026) |
Year-by-year record
| Year | Matches | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 47 | 21 | 44.7% |
| 2023 | 49 | 27 | 55.1% |
| 2024 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% |
| 2025 | 70 | 44 | 62.9% |
| 2026 | 16 | 9 | 56.2% |
Win rate by season, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 2022–2026. Source: raw tournament cache via tennispredictor.net
Surface breakdown
| Surface | Matches | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 108 | 54.6% |
| Clay | 57 | 54.4% |
| Indoors | 30 | 46.7% |
| Grass | 19 | 52.6% |
Win rate by surface, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 2022–2026. Source: raw tournament cache via tennispredictor.net
Hard is the strongest surface (54.6%); Indoors is the floor (46.7%). For match predictions, see the live dashboard.
Round-by-round profile
| Round | Matches | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 75 | 64.0% |
| R2 | 44 | 56.8% |
| R3 | 17 | 35.3% |
| R16 | 43 | 48.8% |
| QF | 21 | 42.9% |
| SF | 9 | 55.6% |
| F | 5 | 0.0% |
Win rate by round, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 2022–2026. Source: raw tournament cache via tennispredictor.net
Head-to-head vs frequent rivals
| Opponent | Record | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Fritz | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| Rublev | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| Mensik | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| Paul | 0-5 | 0.0% |
| Medvedev | 0-5 | 0.0% |
| Auger Aliassime | 1-3 | 25.0% |
H2H win rate vs rivals with 2+ meetings, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Source: raw tournament cache via tennispredictor.net
Market role: favourite vs underdog
Win rate as market favourite vs underdog, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 2022–2026. Source: raw tournament cache via tennispredictor.net
As favourite (85 matches): 64.7%. As underdog (129 matches): 45.7%.
What the betting market misses
The market often prices Alejandro Davidovich Fokina on reputation and ranking snapshots rather than surface-specific cache win rates. The 54.6% Hard figure and 46.7% Indoors floor are the first filters — back aggressively on the strong surface, respect the weak one.
62.9% in 2025 after 40.6% in 2024 — yet 0% in five finals is the second filter for draw-stage betting.
How our model treats Fokina
The ensemble weights recent-form windows, surface splits, and market role. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina enters the top-20 player pool with live rank #20; see also:
- Compare with Cerundolo Atp Player Analysis
- Compare with Musetti Atp Player Analysis
- Compare with Khachanov Atp Player Analysis
Frequently asked questions
What is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's overall win rate in this dataset?
53.3% across 214 matches (2022–2026) in the raw tournament cache.
What is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's best surface?
Hard at 54.6% over 108 matches.
When is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina worth backing as favourite?
When the market makes him favourite, the cache shows 64.7% (85 matches) — moderate conversion.
How fresh is this data?
Stats are drawn from data/cache/tournaments through 2026; ATP rank from unified_rankings.json scraped July 2026.
See today's match predictions with confidence scores and value signals.
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